Cefn Druids AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 4
BAR
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
PRE
3 - 0
CEF
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
HOL
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
AEL
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 0
LLA
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 0
COL
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |