Cefn Druids AFC vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 4
TNS
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAE
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
3 - 5
BAL
9%
19%
72%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HAV
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |