Cefn Druids AFC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
PRE
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
GUI
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 3
FLI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CPD
1 - 5
GUI
8%
13%
79%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | +2 |