Cefn Druids AFC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 1
CEF
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
4 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
DEN
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 2
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
CON
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
GUI
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
4 - 2
GFC
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 4
CAE
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |