Cefn Druids AFC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CEF
4 - 0
RHY
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CEF
1 - 0
HOL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
RHY
2 - 0
CEF
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 3
CEF
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
RHA
0 - 2
GUI
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
3 - 3
BUC
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
4 - 2
GUI
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
4 - 2
RHY
70%
17%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |