Cefn Druids AFC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 3
CEF
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RHA
0 - 3
CEF
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 0
LLA
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
CEF
15%
20%
64%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
LLA
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
3 - 2
GUI
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
CON
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
BUC
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RHY
5 - 0
GUI
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |