Cefn Druids AFC vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
CEF
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DEN
3 - 1
CEF
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 6
CEF
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
FLI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
CEF
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUI
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PRE
2 - 3
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RHA
0 - 1
GRE
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
RHA
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |