Cefn Druids AFC vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
7º
23
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
CEF
81%
12%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
CEF
0 - 2
GUI
40%
24%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 4
CEF
38%
21%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
5 - 0
CEF
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
25%
21%
55%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BUC
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
0 - 3
GUI
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 2
CON
78%
13%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
LLA
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
CON
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |