Cefn Druids AFC vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 0
POR
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
GUI
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 1
CEF
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DEN
4 - 1
CON
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
LLA
75%
15%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
CON
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CON
5 - 3
CEF
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -1 |