Cefn Druids AFC vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 1
CEF
39%
23%
38%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 3
CEF
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CEF
1 - 0
POR
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CEF
0 - 0
GUI
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 3
CON
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
POR
3 - 4
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
RHA
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 4
BAL
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |