Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
67.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
CEF
81%
15%
5%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
6 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 3
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
CEF
81%
15%
5%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |