Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 3
CEF
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RHA
0 - 4
CEF
10%
17%
74%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
CON
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SAL
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
VOJ
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |