Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RHY
1 - 1
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
ABE
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 1
CEF
19%
21%
59%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 0
BUC
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
POR
4 - 4
CEF
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
3 - 2
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
RHY
44%
23%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LID
1 - 8
CON
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |