Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
RHY
33%
24%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 1
CEF
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
5 - 3
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
PRE
3 - 4
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
RHY
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |