Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 4
CEF
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
CEF
2 - 1
GUI
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CEF
4 - 1
AEL
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RHY
0 - 4
CEF
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CEF
4 - 2
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CON
6 - 2
CAE
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RTW
0 - 4
CON
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
RHA
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
1 - 2
CON
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
CON
4 - 2
FLI
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |