Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
3 - 1
NEA
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
CEF
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
WEL
3 - 1
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 3
AIR
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CON
2 - 3
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |