Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 4
BAN
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
CEF
2 - 1
WEL
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LLA
1 - 4
CEF
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LID
0 - 1
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
CON
3 - 4
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
CON
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
WEL
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |