Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
ABE
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 0
HAV
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
POR
3 - 1
CEF
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CEF
2 - 1
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
WEL
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
CON
3 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
LID
2 - 0
CON
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 2
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |