Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
16%
22%
63%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 5
NEW
13%
20%
66%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CEF
82%
14%
4%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |