Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
5 - 0
CEF
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 1
HAV
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
3 - 1
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CEF
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
2 - 0
CAR
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CEF
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |