Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 2
FLI
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 2
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
4 - 0
CEF
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -3 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |