Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
CEF
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |