Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 1
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CEF
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CEF
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |