Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 3
WRE
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 2
LLA
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 0
CEF
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 4
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAN
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |