Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 3
CEF
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RHA
0 - 4
CEF
10%
17%
74%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 7
CAE
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
16%
23%
62%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
GOY
4 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
GOY
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |