Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CEF
3 - 3
HAV
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
BAR
2 - 0
CEF
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2000 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
9 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |