Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
4 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
DEN
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
CEF
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
AIR
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
GUI
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 2
HOL
23%
23%
53%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
5 - 0
CAE
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -3 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 4
DEN
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
RHA
0 - 4
CAE
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |