Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
CEF
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CEF
5 - 2
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CEF
7 - 1
RHA
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CEF
10 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 5
CEF
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
RHA
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
39%
23%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 3
CAE
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 1
CAE
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 3
CAE
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |