Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CEF
3 - 1
LLA
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 0
RHA
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 3
CEF
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CEF
2 - 1
WEL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 2
AEL
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 0
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
4 - 2
RTW
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |