Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
WEL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
NEA
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 3
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NEA
5 - 3
CAE
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 5
PRE
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |