Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
4 - 2
CEF
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 3
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
2 - 5
ABE
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 6
TNS
18%
23%
58%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
ABE
4 - 1
CAE
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
WEL
1 - 0
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 3
AIR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
RHY
3 - 1
CAE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |