Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 1
CEF
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
63%
20%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
WEL
4 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 2
CAE
54%
22%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
CAE
0 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAE
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
35%
24%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 1
RHY
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |