Cefn Druids AFC vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
OSW
0 - 5
CEF
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
POR
6 - 2
CEF
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CAE
4 - 2
CEF
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
29%
24%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAE
3 - 3
CAE
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 1
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAE
35%
24%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |