Cefn Druids AFC vs Caernarfon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
TNS
13%
19%
69%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 4
PRE
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAE
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |