Cefn Druids AFC vs Caernarfon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ABE
2 - 1
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
CWM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HAV
1 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 3
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 5
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AIR
1 - 1
CAE
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |