Cefn Druids AFC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
6 - 0
CEF
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABE
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |