Cefn Druids AFC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
PRE
3 - 0
CEF
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CAR
6 - 0
CEF
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
5 - 0
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAE
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |