Cefn Druids AFC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
CEF
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAE
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |