Cefn Druids AFC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEF
41%
24%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CEF
4 - 1
ABE
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
LLA
3 - 3
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CEF
3 - 2
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
CEF
3 - 7
OSW
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
LID
1 - 0
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 1
CWM
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAV
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
BAR
4 - 0
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |