Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
CEF
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
PEN
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
CEF
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 5
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |