Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
5 - 0
CEF
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 1
HAV
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
3 - 1
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CEF
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
FLI
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
3 - 1
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
PEN
45%
24%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |