Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 2
FLI
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
ABE
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
3 - 1
FLI
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |