Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 4
WRE
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 10
TNS
9%
17%
75%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 4
ABE
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
GLO
4 - 0
ABE
12%
18%
71%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |