Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 0
LLA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
NEW
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOL
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |