Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RHY
0 - 2
CEF
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LLA
4 - 1
CEF
8%
14%
78%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 5
PRE
52%
21%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |