Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 1
CEF
19%
21%
59%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 0
BUC
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
POR
4 - 4
CEF
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 1
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 2
CEF
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
TAF
0 - 2
ABE
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 5
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DER
4 - 0
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 3
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |