Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 0
CEF
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 0
TNS
14%
24%
63%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RHY
6 - 0
CEF
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
1 - 1
AIR
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
2 - 5
LLA
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
ABE
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 0
POR
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CON
0 - 3
ABE
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |