Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
CEF
2 - 5
LLA
19%
21%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
CEF
4 - 1
AIR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 1
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
WEL
2 - 1
ABE
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
HAV
3 - 1
ABE
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 3
HAV
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
TNS
1 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ABE
0 - 0
AIR
72%
18%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |