Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 3
BAN
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CEF
3 - 0
CWM
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 2
CAE
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 1
CEF
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
ABE
4 - 2
NEW
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
RHY
3 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
ABE
0 - 1
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
35%
24%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |