Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2001 |
OSW
0 - 0
CEF
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HAV
2 - 0
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CEF
3 - 2
RHA
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CEF
2 - 3
LID
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
CON
2 - 0
CEF
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
ABE
1 - 0
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ABE
0 - 2
BAN
72%
16%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |